WorldIsrael military action against Lebanon
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4?
Live
Yes
90.5 % chance
No
9.5 % chance
$348.80
13
Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 17:12 UTC · Scheduled close Oct 5, 2026 03:59 UTC
Israel military action against Lebanon on...? → all 30 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- Yes90.5¢
- No9.5¢
- 1D: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
81.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
90.5¢
Yes price now
9.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
14
Smart money
7
Top holders
- Cu…erYes165
- To…owYes129.4
- Lo…ueYes68.3
- Su…ISNo100
- A…VNo62
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