Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 6%-9%?
Live
Yes
1.8 % chance
No
98.2 % chance
$2.1K
35
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:00 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.8 %chance
- Yes 1.8¢ · No 98.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
21.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.8¢
Yes price now
20.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
84
Smart money
31
Top holders
- Pr…ieNo506
- An…ntYes1,000
- xt…meYes760.4
- sh…ooYes667
- Ra…uyNo355.9
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