Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?

Live

Yes

1.4 % chance

98.6 % chance

$1.4K

Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 19:31 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

1.4 %chance
Yes 1.4¢ · No 98.6¢

1D · All: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

3.0¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

1.4¢

Yes price now

1.7¢

Holders paid above the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

Lu…ysNo568.5
ba…arNo266.8
me…48No135.8
Va…erYes700
Ga…tiNo100

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