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Politics · Middle EastIran

Question

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?

Live

Yes
18.5 % chance
No
81.5 % chance
$4.6K
50

Trading opened Aug 28, 2026 19:06 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 31, 2026 23:59 UTC

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 18.5 %chance
  • Yes 18.5¢ · No 81.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

31.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
18.5¢
Yes price now
12.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
66
Smart money
34

Top holders

  • an…23No32,910
  • ED…99Yes32,621
  • Ko…23No20,646
  • s…sYes22,014
  • j…eNo15,568

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Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank