World · Global elections
Question
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Live
Yes
10.0 % chance
No
90.0 % chance
$1.8K
25
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 19:31 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 10.0 %chance
- Yes 10.0¢ · No 90.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
8.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
10.0¢
Yes price now
1.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
57
Smart money
22
Top holders
- sd…kyNo685.2
- Lu…ysNo550.4
- mi…ktNo99.4
- ro…24Yes293
- Ad…stNo93
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