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Weather · Hong KongHong Kong Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 15?

Live · started Oct 14 16:00 UTC

Yes
72.5 % chance
No
27.5 % chance
$2.4K
79

Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 04:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 15, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 15? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 72.5 %chance
  • Yes 72.5¢ · No 27.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

45.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
63.0¢
Yes price now
17.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
161
Smart money
49

Top holders

  • li…00Yes439
  • La…onYes340.6
  • Cr…15Yes173.8
  • Wi…irNo200
  • al…daNo160

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Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 15? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank