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World · Global elections

Question

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?

Live

Yes
10.0 % chance
No
90.0 % chance
$831.63
21

Trading opened Sep 23, 2026 20:14 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 25, 2026 23:59 UTC

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory → all 10 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 10.0 %chance
  • Yes 10.0¢ · No 90.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

26.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
10.0¢
Yes price now
16.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
32
Smart money
19

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo238.5
  • Ze…BGYes452.3
  • ba…arNo202.4
  • do…meNo191.4
  • gr…19No150

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Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank