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Weather · TokyoTokyo Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 15?

Live · starts 15:00 UTC

Yes
30.5 % chance
No
69.5 % chance
$1.1K
57

Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 04:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 15, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 15? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 30.5 %chance
  • Yes 30.5¢ · No 69.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

23.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
30.5¢
Yes price now
6.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
73
Smart money
35

Top holders

  • he…67No456.8
  • AnonymousYes601.5
  • h…vYes526.3
  • h…vNo205.8
  • na…olNo107.1

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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 15? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank