Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?
Live
Yes
32.0 % chance
No
68.0 % chance
$12.1K
75
Trading opened Dec 16, 2025 16:44 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 32.0 %chance
- Yes 32.0¢ · No 68.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
44.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
31.5¢
Yes price now
12.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
321
Smart money
53
Top holders
- so…esNo8,299
- ri…niNo5,011
- no…ckYes5,000
- Pr…ieYes4,084
- ba…k1Yes1,137
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