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Politics · US electionsSenate

Question

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Live · starts Nov 3 12:00 UTC

Yes
38.0 % chance
No
62.0 % chance
$7.3K
48

Trading opened Jul 11, 2025 19:48 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Which party will win the Senate in 2026? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 38.0 %chance
  • Yes 38.0¢ · No 62.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

48.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
38.0¢
Yes price now
10.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
176
Smart money
11

Top holders

  • Si…a1No185,000
  • lo…anYes119,740
  • w…1Yes95,000
  • w…1No95,000
  • fo…erNo83,945

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