Politics · US electionsIran
Question
Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
Live
Yes
31.6 % chance
No
68.4 % chance
$8.6K
18
Trading opened Oct 11, 2026 16:36 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement? → all 2 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 31.6 %chance
- Yes 31.6¢ · No 68.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
Yes price now 31.6¢ · holder entry warming up.
24h fills
29
Smart money
10
Top holders
- To…thNo699.8
- pu…daYes1,000
- Di…oyNo667
- Sc…ooNo555
- An…82No500
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