Finance · Economy
Question
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US enter a recession by the end of 2027?
Live
Yes
33.0 % chance
No
67.0 % chance
$701.86
25
Trading opened Nov 2, 2026 00:47 UTC · Eligible for resolution Feb 1, 2028 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 33.0 %chance
- Yes 33.0¢ · No 67.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
21.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
33.0¢
Yes price now
11.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
103
Smart money
19
Top holders
- au…mmNo515.7
- lo…olNo122.2
- Me…leYes186.3
- xt…meYes196
- Gu…erNo100
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