Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?
Live
Yes
25.5 % chance
No
74.5 % chance
$2.2K
32
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:24 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 25.5 %chance
- Yes 25.5¢ · No 74.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
16.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
25.5¢
Yes price now
8.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
47
Smart money
15
Top holders
- pi…edYes4,954
- sd…f2No700
- Dr…NLNo525.1
- Wa…rHNo427.5
- Sp…rlNo386
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