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Weather · Hong KongHong Kong Daily Lowest Temperature

Question

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 19?

Live · started Oct 18 16:00 UTC

Yes
3.5 % chance
No
96.5 % chance
$817.17
38

Trading opened Oct 17, 2026 04:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 19, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 19? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.5 %chance
  • Yes 3.5¢ · No 96.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

21.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.5¢
Yes price now
18.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
63
Smart money
32

Top holders

  • Sa…nxNo250
  • Lu…ysNo126
  • mu…erNo110.9
  • Co…eaYes404.6
  • Kn…shNo63.9

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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 19? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank