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Politics · US elections

Question

Will the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat?

Live

Yes
95.3 % chance
No
4.7 % chance
$901.85
17

Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 21:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

NY-23 House Election Winner → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 95.3 %chance
  • Yes 95.3¢ · No 4.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

89.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
95.3¢
Yes price now
5.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
45
Smart money
16

Top holders

  • ma…ksYes1,884
  • Pr…ieYes1,287
  • Si…eeNo3,391
  • co…atYes683
  • Ma…stYes625

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Will the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank