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Politics · Global electionsUK

Question

Will the Labour Party candidate win 40-45% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?

Live

Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$575.79
10

Trading opened Sep 14, 2026 22:50 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 8, 2026 23:59 UTC

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share? → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.3 %chance
  • Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

33.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
33.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
19
Smart money
9

Top holders

  • Mi…r.Yes849.5
  • Vi…axNo475.6
  • fl…onYes439.3
  • Jo…92No276.7
  • A…VYes476.6

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Will the Labour Party candidate win 40-45% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank