Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 6%-9%?
Live
Yes
6.5 % chance
No
93.5 % chance
$106.34
6
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 6.5 %chance
- Yes 6.5¢ · No 93.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
18.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
6.5¢
Yes price now
12.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
7
Smart money
5
Top holders
- An…ntYes1,000
- co…coNo444.1
- Lu…ysNo314.1
- Vi…axNo157.2
- do…meNo151
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