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Politics · Ukraine & RussiaUkraine Map

Question

Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?

Live

Yes
18.5 % chance
No
81.5 % chance
$220.75
5

Trading opened Sep 30, 2026 21:08 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC

Will Russia capture Bilytske by...? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 18.5 %chance
  • Yes 18.5¢ · No 81.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

25.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
18.5¢
Yes price now
7.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
4
Smart money
4

Top holders

  • Ni…roNo1,801
  • Pe…onYes2,017
  • Ry…oiYes1,522
  • Vo…77No599.4
  • Ga…ioNo563.7

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Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank