Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 12% or more?
Live
Yes
2.7 % chance
No
97.3 % chance
$1.6K
16
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.7 %chance
- Yes 2.7¢ · No 97.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
3.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.7¢
Yes price now
0.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
40
Smart money
15
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo359.6
- e…3No274.5
- ba…arNo216
- vi…20Yes1,106
- do…meNo164.6
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