Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 19, 2026?

Live

Yes

8.9 % chance

91.1 % chance

$684.68

Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 20, 2026 03:59 UTC

Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released on...? → all 32 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

8.9 %chance
Yes 8.9¢ · No 91.1¢

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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.7¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

8.9¢

Yes price now

8.2¢

Holders paid below the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

mi…ktNo257.3
no…erNo195
ba…arNo141.4
ha…ayNo48
e…3No32.8

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