Politics · US electionsIran
Question
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
Live
Yes
7.4 % chance
No
92.6 % chance
$10.7K
49
Trading opened Oct 11, 2026 18:01 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms? → all 3 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 7.4 %chance
- Yes 7.4¢ · No 92.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
Yes price now 7.4¢ · holder entry warming up.
24h fills
138
Smart money
36
Top holders
- Vi…axNo3,041
- 0x…lmNo2,980
- Mi…KyYes8,777
- Ai…rdYes6,000
- me…48No1,485
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