Politics · Economy & the FedIranUS imposes new sanctions on China
Question
US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31, 2026?
Yes
94.0 % chance
No
6.0 % chance
$4.7K
43
Trading opened Sep 30, 2026 23:55 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 94.0 %chance
- Yes 94.0¢ · No 6.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
42.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
94.1¢
Yes price now
51.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
84
Smart money
27
Top holders
- y…uYes2,682
- nn…rrYes2,288
- �…�Yes3,806
- d…xNo930.9
- Di…ioNo970.7
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