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Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 51°F or below on November 1?

Live · started Oct 30 10:56 UTC

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$1.1K
21

Trading opened Oct 30, 2026 10:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 1? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

4.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
4.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
35
Smart money
18

Top holders

  • 1D…TDNo500
  • Vi…axNo122.3
  • Ad…stNo92
  • b…3No70
  • Lu…ysNo41.8

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 51°F or below on November 1? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank