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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 0%-20%?

Live

Yes
1.5 % chance
No
98.5 % chance
$0.12
2

Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 18:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

OR-01 House Election Margin of Victory → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 1.5 %chance
  • Yes 1.5¢ · No 98.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

5.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.5¢
Yes price now
3.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
1

Top holders

  • xt…meYes358.1
  • ba…arNo70
  • go…26No60
  • me…48No51.6
  • Vi…axNo38

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 0%-20%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank