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Politics · US elections

Question

Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?

Live

Yes
96.0 % chance
No
4.0 % chance
$2.0K
20

Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 06:27 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

CA-23 House Election Winner → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 96.0 %chance
  • Yes 96.0¢ · No 4.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

90.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
96.0¢
Yes price now
5.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
36
Smart money
16

Top holders

  • Sn…r7Yes4,852
  • Si…eeNo2,974
  • Fl…ngYes801
  • Pr…ieYes674.2
  • co…atYes700.9

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Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank