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Politics · US elections

Question

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?

Live

Yes
96.2 % chance
No
3.8 % chance
$23.5K
20

Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 06:09 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

CA-06 House Election Winner → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 96.2 %chance
  • Yes 96.2¢ · No 3.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

93.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
96.2¢
Yes price now
2.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
24
Smart money
17

Top holders

  • Si…eeYes12,370
  • Im…enYes3,831
  • Ga…deNo7,500
  • bo…ogYes1,000
  • Ta…nkYes947.4

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Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank