Politics · Middle EastIran
Question
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?
Live
Yes
56.0 % chance
No
44.0 % chance
$8.2K
48
Trading opened Nov 4, 2026 06:07 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 16, 2026 04:59 UTC
US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 56.0 %chance
- Yes 56.0¢ · No 44.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
Yes price now 56.0¢ · holder entry warming up.
24h fills
86
Smart money
29
Top holders
- m…sYes4,930
- pa…aaNo3,400
- cl…edYes1,489
- Re…ngNo1,547
- j…TNo1,492
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