Politics · US electionsTrump
Question
Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?
Live
Yes
1.1 % chance
No
98.9 % chance
$1.4K
15
Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 14:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.1 %chance
- Yes 1.1¢ · No 98.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
7.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.1¢
Yes price now
6.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
41
Smart money
13
Top holders
- ma…ksNo4,716
- re…26Yes5,798
- Lu…ysNo557.8
- Sp…umNo398
- e…3No187.4
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