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Politics · US politicshouse

Question

Government shutdown by December 12?

Live

Yes
27.0 % chance
No
73.0 % chance
$3.2K
16

Trading opened Oct 28, 2026 21:23 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 13, 2026 04:59 UTC

Government shutdown by...? → all 2 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 27.0 %chance
  • Yes 27.0¢ · No 73.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

33.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
27.0¢
Yes price now
6.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
52
Smart money
14

Top holders

  • ma…roNo2,403
  • Du…atYes2,862
  • Zh…CDNo653.2
  • Um…thNo500
  • Gl…s7No455.7

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Government shutdown by December 12? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank