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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 25%-30%?

Live

Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$294.76
7

Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:41 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 10 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.4 %chance
  • Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

6.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
6.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
9
Smart money
6

Top holders

  • qu…elNo125
  • jo…22No101.1
  • no…erNo95
  • Lu…ysNo70.1
  • Ju…reNo64.8

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 25%-30%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank