Politics · TrumpTrump 538 Approval Binary
Question
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 16, 2026?
Live
Yes
76.0 % chance
No
24.0 % chance
$318.00
14
Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 22:09 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 17, 2026 03:59 UTC
Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 16? → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 76.0 %chance
- Yes 76.0¢ · No 24.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
49.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
76.0¢
Yes price now
26.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
18
Smart money
9
Top holders
- cl…y1Yes543.8
- Mi…dcNo98.9
- po…erNo66.9
- jo…ueNo52.4
- Ha…thNo40.1
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