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Politics · Middle EastIran

Question

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?

Live

Yes
2.3 % chance
No
97.7 % chance
$61.9K
19

Trading opened Aug 10, 2026 15:17 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.3 %chance
  • Yes 2.3¢ · No 97.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

3.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.3¢
Yes price now
1.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
23
Smart money
11

Top holders

  • Th…MANo229,351
  • pi…liNo116,712
  • Tr…28No90,556
  • SA…erNo20,992
  • th…drNo19,600

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US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank