Politics · Middle EastOilships transit the Strait of Hormuz
Question
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?
Live
Yes
3.9 % chance
No
96.1 % chance
$602.52
8
Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 09:34 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 19? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.9 %chance
- Yes 3.9¢ · No 96.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
8.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.9¢
Yes price now
4.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
22
Smart money
6
Top holders
- ra…07No282
- Vi…axNo250
- ba…arNo182.1
- Pa…atNo120
- A…VYes195.1
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