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Politics · US elections

Question

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Live

Yes
43.5 % chance
No
56.5 % chance
$681.43
13

Trading opened Sep 22, 2026 22:44 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 31, 2026 16:00 UTC

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 43.5 %chance
  • Yes 43.5¢ · No 56.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

36.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
43.5¢
Yes price now
7.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
15
Smart money
11

Top holders

  • Tr…ctYes1,666
  • Sn…onYes909.8
  • me…48No470
  • Dr…NLNo319.7
  • Ar…lyYes350

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank