Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?
Live · starts Nov 3 17:00 UTC
Yes
3.6 % chance
No
96.4 % chance
$425.98
22
Trading opened Jun 25, 2026 17:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms? → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.6 %chance
- Yes 3.6¢ · No 96.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
10.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.6¢
Yes price now
6.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
29
Smart money
20
Top holders
- Tu…asYes4,248
- do…meNo1,354
- ba…arNo607.2
- Lu…ysNo518.2
- co…ceNo470.3
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