Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Republican Party win the TX-12 House seat?
Live
Yes
95.5 % chance
No
4.5 % chance
$2.33
2
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 23:18 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 95.5 %chance
- Yes 95.5¢ · No 4.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
88.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
95.5¢
Yes price now
6.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
1
Top holders
- Si…eeYes840.9
- cr…sxYes206
- ma…ksYes155
- DA…NCYes99.3
- Ha…thNo180
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