Politics · US electionsTrump
Question
Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?
Live
Yes
31.0 % chance
No
69.0 % chance
$2.2K
25
Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 14:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 31.0 %chance
- Yes 31.0¢ · No 69.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
49.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
31.0¢
Yes price now
18.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
79
Smart money
22
Top holders
- ba…arYes2,087
- Lu…ysNo529.3
- xt…meNo289.4
- gr…19No338
- re…26Yes249.7
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