Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 15, 2026?

Live

Yes

0.6 % chance

99.4 % chance

$733.25

Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 16, 2026 03:59 UTC

Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released on...? → all 32 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.6 %chance
Yes 0.6¢ · No 99.4¢

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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

9.9¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

0.6¢

Yes price now

9.3¢

Holders paid above the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

mi…ktNo217.3
no…erNo130
ba…arNo106.5
A…VYes287.1
e…3No52

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