Politics · Middle EastIran target a Arab country by
Question
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
78.0 % chance
No
22.0 % chance
$3.80
2
Trading opened Oct 7, 2026 23:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 78.0 %chance
- Yes 78.0¢ · No 22.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
66.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
78.0¢
Yes price now
11.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
2
Smart money
1
Top holders
- BA…89Yes409.1
- A…VNo446.7
- me…ldYes303.1
- Sp…pyNo162
- T…2No79.9
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