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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 3%-6%?

Live

Yes
2.6 % chance
No
97.4 % chance
$49.48
3

Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.6 %chance
  • Yes 2.6¢ · No 97.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

15.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.6¢
Yes price now
12.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
2
Smart money
2

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo314.1
  • Dr…NLYes432.4
  • Vi…axNo157.2
  • gr…19No135
  • Wa…rHNo77

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 3%-6%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank