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Politics · US electionsUnited States

Question

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Live · starts Nov 3 12:00 UTC

Yes
28.5 % chance
No
71.5 % chance
$52.0K
66

Trading opened Jul 11, 2025 21:05 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 28.5 %chance
  • Yes 28.5¢ · No 71.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

35.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
28.5¢
Yes price now
7.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
111
Smart money
26

Top holders

  • Br…nkNo198,118
  • Su…86Yes213,185
  • ti…erNo96,180
  • sp…odYes140,858
  • Th…ulYes135,936

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2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank