Politics · US electionsIran
Question
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
Live
Yes
9.9 % chance
No
90.1 % chance
$10.0K
46
Trading opened Oct 11, 2026 18:01 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms? → all 3 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 9.9 %chance
- Yes 9.9¢ · No 90.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
Yes price now 9.9¢ · holder entry warming up.
24h fills
116
Smart money
33
Top holders
- Mi…KyYes19,802
- Vi…axNo3,041
- To…thNo3,000
- co…h1No3,000
- ba…arNo1,485
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