Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 40%-45%?
Live
Yes
15.0 % chance
No
85.0 % chance
$82.03
5
Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 18:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 15.0 %chance
- Yes 15.0¢ · No 85.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
18.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
15.0¢
Yes price now
3.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
7
Smart money
4
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo163.6
- ba…arNo120.3
- Sp…wlNo113
- xt…meYes227.3
- Wa…rHNo91
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