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Crypto · BitcoinBTC Up or Down Daily

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?

Up
99.9 % chance
Down
0.1 % chance
$530.1K
424

Trading opened Oct 3, 2026 16:07 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 5, 2026 16:00 UTC

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • Up99.9¢
  • Down0.1¢
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Where holders of Up bought vs the market

79.2¢
Holders' average price for Up (skill-weighted)
99.9¢
Up price now
20.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
2,615
Smart money
260

Top holders

  • C…BUp145,865
  • p…kUp120,000
  • Sh…99Down74,668
  • UR…17Down56,856
  • th…omUp43,849

See who's really positioned here

The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.

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Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.

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Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank