Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
Live · starts Nov 3 17:00 UTC
Yes
28.3 % chance
No
71.7 % chance
$1.8K
34
Trading opened Jun 25, 2026 17:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms? → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 28.3 %chance
- Yes 28.3¢ · No 71.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
22.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
28.3¢
Yes price now
6.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
51
Smart money
32
Top holders
- g…8Yes4,144
- vy…qlNo1,625
- Be…onNo1,171
- Go…goYes1,790
- Wh…deNo779.9
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