Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 50%-55%?

Live

Yes

22.5 % chance

77.5 % chance

$548.24

Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 18:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

OR-01 House Election Margin of Victory → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

22.5 %chance
Yes 22.5¢ · No 77.5¢

1D · All: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

26.4¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

22.5¢

Yes price now

3.9¢

Holders paid above the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

ro…06Yes299.9
Lu…ysNo171.9
Ba…cyYes247.6
ba…arNo118.7
Sp…wlNo113

See who's really positioned here

The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.

Create account to unlock

Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.