Finance · InflationFed
Question
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
Live
Yes
18.5 % chance
No
81.5 % chance
$4.4K
16
Trading opened Jun 23, 2026 20:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 23:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 18.5 %chance
- Yes 18.5¢ · No 81.5¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
22.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
18.5¢
Yes price now
4.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
47
Smart money
12
Top holders
- Th…ulNo50,000
- Ho…s7No8,477
- AnonymousNo6,799
- d…eYes10,000
- no…f3Yes6,205
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…