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Weather · ShanghaiShanghai Daily Lowest Temperature

Question

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 16?

Live · started 16:00 UTC

Yes
36.0 % chance
No
64.0 % chance
$215.07
16

Trading opened Oct 14, 2026 04:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 16, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on October 16? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 36.0 %chance
  • Yes 36.0¢ · No 64.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

32.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
36.0¢
Yes price now
4.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
27
Smart money
9

Top holders

  • wi…erYes100
  • On…n2No70
  • Ta…27No60
  • 0…7No58.5
  • an…ngNo44.5

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Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 16? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank