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Politics · US elections

Question

Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 75% by March 31?

Live

Yes
28.5 % chance
No
71.5 % chance
$99.49
5

Trading opened Nov 3, 2026 23:16 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 1, 2027 03:59 UTC

Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit __ by March 31? → all 4 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 28.5 %chance
  • Yes 28.5¢ · No 71.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

26.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
28.5¢
Yes price now
1.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
4
Smart money
3

Top holders

  • sd…f2No241.8
  • li…erNo152.9
  • Ub…ngYes200
  • xt…meYes116.6
  • Su…toYes45

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Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 75% by March 31? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank