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Weather · MadridMadrid Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 12?

Live · started Oct 11 22:00 UTC

Yes
36.5 % chance
No
63.5 % chance
$992.12
58

Trading opened Oct 10, 2026 04:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 12, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Madrid on October 12? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 36.5 %chance
  • Yes 36.5¢ · No 63.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

15.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
36.0¢
Yes price now
21.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
115
Smart money
34

Top holders

  • Wr…eeYes1,211
  • cl…dyNo273.8
  • h…vNo160.4
  • ca…otNo114.2
  • Jo…wnNo109.8

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Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 12? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank